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My Most Likely Incorrect Predictions: 2007 Edition
Wednesday, January 3, 2007
Last year I did a post for my 2006 predictions, some of which came true (Triton getting past the validating state and the AIM API getting released), and some that fell short (skinning of the AIM client, though AIM Lite does allow for skinning and the Colts winning the Super Bowl). This year, I figured I would offer up some predictions for AIM, the social networking world and life in general for 2007. On with the guesses...
In 2007 AIM...
* Users will see even more varieties of clients available to them. Whether you are a gamer, an enterprise user, or into a lite client experience there will be a client for YOU.
* Will have more plugins to tie together social networking sites and AIM, much like our Facebook plugin.
* Interop between AIM and GTalk will be completed.
* Will continue to add features into AIM 6.x that are missing from AIM 5.x such as buddy list font and color preferences.
* Will continue to lead the way in the US as the market leader for Instant Messaging.
Now for the rest of the predictions, in 2007...
* I would not expect to see any major IM interop deals between our competitors, nor do I expect them to catch up to our progress in opening up our APIs
* Facebook will finally be purchased for an un-holy sum by someone other than Yahoo.
* Text messaging and web browsing on mobile devices will continue to grow very quickly as we all do more and more through the devices, though the mobile carriers still will not make it cheap enough for me.
* AIM Pages will continue to get more popular because of the integrated experience with the AIM client, and because it uses open standardsfor 3rd party developers.
* RIAA's $1.65 billion lawsuit against AllOfMp3.com holds more water than lots of people think, even though AllOfMp3 follows the law in Russia, because if Russia wants to join the World Trade Organization, Russian copyright laws will have to change...my guess is that they will change the laws.
* MacWorld will not disappoint in a couple of weeks...I think we will see some cool new devices for the home as well as for the mobile world.
* Microsoft will purchase a share of Yahoo, to team up against Google while Fox Interactive will continue to add to its portfolio of social networking websites by making a play for Second Life.
* I think we will still be waiting for the killer movie download service (other than BitTorrent of course) in 2007. I want a service that I can download movies and burn to dvd that have customizable time to live content and that also includes all the "DVD Extras" that you get if you buy the disc. I know that is a lot to ask for. :-)
* The average user will not be able to tell Microsoft's super delayed Vista with XP SP2, other than all the annoying message boxes that pop up for common tasks.
...and last but not least...
* Jack Bauer will save the world once again without ever once eating or using the bathroom for 24 hours.
So that is my list. I hope everyone has a great start to the New Year, and look out for a post on some of the stuff we are working for AIM 6.x and Open AIM later this week.
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My Most Likely Incorrect Predictions: 2007 Edition
Crossfade - Falling Away
Last year I did a post for my 2006 predictions, some of which came true (Triton getting past the validating state and the AIM API getting released), and some that fell short (skinning of the AIM client, though AIM Lite does allow for skinning and the Colts winning the Super Bowl). This year, I figured I would offer up some predictions for AIM, the social networking world and life in general for 2007. On with the guesses...
In 2007 AIM...
* Users will see even more varieties of clients available to them. Whether you are a gamer, an enterprise user, or into a lite client experience there will be a client for YOU.
* Will have more plugins to tie together social networking sites and AIM, much like our Facebook plugin.
* Interop between AIM and GTalk will be completed.
* Will continue to add features into AIM 6.x that are missing from AIM 5.x such as buddy list font and color preferences.
* Will continue to lead the way in the US as the market leader for Instant Messaging.
Now for the rest of the predictions, in 2007...
* I would not expect to see any major IM interop deals between our competitors, nor do I expect them to catch up to our progress in opening up our APIs
* Facebook will finally be purchased for an un-holy sum by someone other than Yahoo.
* Text messaging and web browsing on mobile devices will continue to grow very quickly as we all do more and more through the devices, though the mobile carriers still will not make it cheap enough for me.
* AIM Pages will continue to get more popular because of the integrated experience with the AIM client, and because it uses open standardsfor 3rd party developers.
* RIAA's $1.65 billion lawsuit against AllOfMp3.com holds more water than lots of people think, even though AllOfMp3 follows the law in Russia, because if Russia wants to join the World Trade Organization, Russian copyright laws will have to change...my guess is that they will change the laws.
* MacWorld will not disappoint in a couple of weeks...I think we will see some cool new devices for the home as well as for the mobile world.
* Microsoft will purchase a share of Yahoo, to team up against Google while Fox Interactive will continue to add to its portfolio of social networking websites by making a play for Second Life.
* I think we will still be waiting for the killer movie download service (other than BitTorrent of course) in 2007. I want a service that I can download movies and burn to dvd that have customizable time to live content and that also includes all the "DVD Extras" that you get if you buy the disc. I know that is a lot to ask for. :-)
* The average user will not be able to tell Microsoft's super delayed Vista with XP SP2, other than all the annoying message boxes that pop up for common tasks.
...and last but not least...
* Jack Bauer will save the world once again without ever once eating or using the bathroom for 24 hours.
So that is my list. I hope everyone has a great start to the New Year, and look out for a post on some of the stuff we are working for AIM 6.x and Open AIM later this week.
gregsblog at 12:22:00 AM EST Blog about this entry |
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This entry has 5 comments: (Add your own)
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I predict a steady stream of contrarian comments by the mysterious Mr. Groper.
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I predict a layoff at AOL, and the perpetuation of over-advertising in the AIM client.
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This weeks latest Twit there was alot of talk about AOL....i have to agree with them Google will buy AOL ...with i think will be good for AIM. Some more money put behind it like msn has...although the name AIm might be dropped eventually.
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As far as a client for me! I'm waiting for it.... but somehow I doubt AOL's to gain marketshare with chatroom based gamers ;)
Nevertheless, should be a fun year.
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