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Wednesday, January 9, 2008
Monsanto Co.: Tinkering with the seeds of growth
Guest blogger: Larry Schutts, vice president of Stockwinners.com and a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com. Larry looks for stocks with technical and fundamental characteristics indicating gains in the next 30 days. However, price movements may be volatile. He includes a stop-loss price in each post. Consider selling a position should the stop-loss be violated. Look for more of Larry's stock picks in the days and weeks to come.
When you are a big producer of crop seeds, manufacturing herbicides
does not seem to be the most sympathetic business diversification.
Still, there is an outfit in St. Louis that makes it work. It simply
alters its seeds genetically, so they tolerate its herbicides. Monsanto Company (NYSE:MON) provides agricultural products to farmers worldwide. The company
produces seeds and develops biotechnology traits that assist farmers in
controlling insects and weeds. Products include canola, corn, soybean,
fruit, cotton, sunflower and sorghum seed. Monsanto also manufactures
the world's leading herbicide, Roundup. Further, it provides products
that focus on improving dairy cow productivity and it sells genetics
lines for improving the productivity and meat quality of swine. The
company pleased investors last week, when it reported fiscal Q1 EPS of
46 cents and revenues of $2.1 billion. Analysts had been expecting 35
cents and $1.87 billion. Robust Latin American demand for Roundup and
seed trait products was cited as a big factor in the successful
quarter. Management also guided FY08 EPS to $2.50-2.60 ($2.59
consensus) and boosted its FY08 free cash flow estimate from $800-900
million to $0.9-1.0 billion.  The stock popped on the news and has since been consolidating the gain
in a bullish "flag" pattern. Equities frequently exit flags moving in
the same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that
would be to the upside. Brokers recommend the shares with four
"strong buys," four "buys" and five "holds." Analysts see a 31% average
annual growth rate through the next five years. The MON Sales Growth
rate (36.39%), EPS Growth rate (187.50%) and Operating Margin (18.00%)
compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages.
Institutions hold about 85% of the outstanding shares. The stock is one
of those used to calculate the S&P 500 Index. Over the past 12
months, it has traded between $49.10 and $124.35. A stop-loss of
$105.75 looks good here.
hilaryonstocks at 4:33:51 PM EST
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Monday, January 7, 2008
eDiets.com: Online assistance for finding that slimmer you
Guest blogger: Larry Schutts, vice president of Stockwinners.com and a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com. Larry looks for stocks with technical and fundamental characteristics indicating gains in the next 30 days. However, price movements may be volatile. He includes a stop-loss price in each post. Consider selling a position should the stop-loss be violated. Look for more of Larry's stock picks in the days and weeks to come.
Feeling a little heavy after the holidays? Wondering where to find
help honoring that New Year's resolution to lose some weight, without
attending "public" sessions? Go online, of course! There is an Web
outfit in Fort Lauderdale that is helping nearly 120,000 dieters
already. eDiets.com (NASDAQ:DIET) develops and markets Internet-based diet and fitness programs in North
America and Europe. It offers subscribers diet plans according to the
individual's weight goals and includes related shopping lists and
recipes. It also provides meal delivery service, corporate wellness
programs and telephone/online support. The company has partnerships
with Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), and Time Warner's (NYSE:TWX) AOL. DIET shares are up 40% over the past 10 weeks, sparked by such issues as upside FY08 revenue guidance, favorable
analyst remarks, a new CEO and an improved technology platform. The
news has the stock cycling through a positive trading channel. The
price is currently near the base of that channel, where oversold
Momentum and MACD technical parameters suggest the potential for a rise
back toward the top. Correspondence of the issue's 30-day moving
average to the base of the channel backs the rebound notion. Brokers recommend the shares with one "strong buy" and one "sell."
Analysts expect a 26% growth rate through the next year. The DIET
Revenue per Employee ($300k) compares favorably with the industry
average. Institutional investors hold about 55% of the outstanding
shares. Over the past 52 weeks, DIET has traded between $2.67
and $6.10. A stop-loss of $4.80 looks good here. Note that the firm is
expected to report Q4 results in mid-March.
hilaryonstocks at 3:53:30 PM EST
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Friday, January 4, 2008
ICON plc: Outsourcing for Big Pharma and Biotech
Guest blogger: Larry Schutts, vice president of Stockwinners.com and a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com. Larry looks for stocks with technical and fundamental characteristics indicating gains in the next 30 days. However, price movements may be volatile. He includes a stop-loss price in each post. Consider selling a position should the stop-loss be violated. Look for more of Larry's stock picks in the days and weeks to come.Successful drug development consultants are those with the
operational flexibility to provide services on a stand-alone basis, or
as part of an integrated solution. Global experience helps, too. There
is an outfit in Dublin, Ireland that touches all the bases. It
employees 5,600 and operates from 67 locations in 35 countries. ICON plc (NASDAQ:ICLR)
is a global provider of outsourced development services to the
pharmaceutical, biotechnology and medical device industries. The
company specializes in the strategic development, management and
analysis of programs that support clinical development -- from compound
selection to Phase I-IV clinical studies. ICON teams have conducted
more than 1,900 development projects and over 2,300 consultancy engagements
across all major therapeutic areas. ICON pleased investors last
month, when it reaffirmed its profit outlook for 2007 and set forth its
2008 financial targets. Management guided FY07 EPS to $1.82-$1.85
($1.85 consensus), FY07 revenues to $615-$625 million ($619M
consensus), FY08 EPS to $2.27-$2.36 ($2.31 consensus) and FY08 revenues
to $750-$770 million ($765M consensus).  The stock popped on the news and has since been consolidating the gain
in a bullish "flag" pattern. Equities frequently exit flags moving in
the same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that
would be to the upside. Brokers recommend the shares with five
"strong buys," six "buys" and two "holds." Analysts expect a 27% growth
rate through the nextyear. The ICLR Price to Sales ratio (3.08),
Price to Book ratio (4.95), Sales Growth rate (38.27%), EPS Growth rate
(40%), Return on Assets (9.72%) and Return on Investment (15.78%)
compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages.
Institutional investors hold about 78% of the outstanding shares. Over
the past 52 weeks, ICLR has traded between $36.68 and $64.79. A
stop-loss of $53.95 looks good here. Note that the firm is expected to
report Q4 results in mid-February.
hilaryonstocks at 2:17:21 PM EST
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Thursday, January 3, 2008
Joy Global: Mining for Profits
Guest blogger: Larry Schutts, vice president of Stockwinners.com and a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com. Larry looks for stocks with technical and fundamental characteristics indicating gains in the next 30 days. However, price movements may be volatile. He includes a stop-loss price in each post. Consider selling a position should the stop-loss be violated. Look for more of Larry's stock picks in the days and weeks to come.
The world's growing energy and infrastructure needs are focusing
attention on our ability to effectively mine coal, minerals and ores. A
leading maker of the equipment used to efficiently coax such materials
from the ground is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Joy Global (NASDAQ:JOYG)
manufactures heavy equipment for the mining industry. Its Joy Mining
Machinery segment makes underground equipment for the extraction of
coal and other bedded minerals. Products include continuous miners,
longwall shearers, powered roof supports, armored face conveyors and
shuttle cars. The P&H Mining Equipment unit produces electric
mining shovels, rotary blasthole drills and walking draglines for the
open-pit mining of coal, ores and precious metals. The company operates
facilities and equipment service centers in over twenty countries
worldwide. Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) is a major competitor. The
firm had good news for investors last month, when it reported Q4 EPS of
80 cents and revenues of $736 billion. Analysts had been expecting 75
cents and $717.2 million. The company set a new quarterly order record,
which was said to reflect the initial stage of recovery of the U.S.
underground coal market. Management also offered in-line guidance for
FY08 results. UBS and Stifel Nicolaus subsequently reiterated "buy"
ratings on the issue.  The stock popped on the news and has since been consolidating the gain
in a bullish "flag" pattern. Equities frequently exit flags moving in
the same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that
would be to the upside. Altogether, brokers recommend the shares
with three "strong buys," three "buys" and five "holds." Recent price
targets fall in the $68 to $100 range. Analysts expect a 33% average
annual growth rate through the next five years. The JOYG Operating
Margin (18.61%), Return on Assets (13.69%), Return on Investment
(20.46%) and Return on Equity (34.04%) compare favorably with industry,
sector and S&P 500 averages. The stock is one of those used to
calculate the S&P 400 MidCap Index. Institutional investors hold
about 91% of the outstanding shares. Over the past 52 weeks,
JOYG has traded between $40.36 and $67.61. A stop-loss of $55.90 looks
good here.
hilaryonstocks at 5:22:38 PM EST
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Wednesday, January 2, 2008
Heico Corp.: The Right Stuff to Fly High
Guest blogger: Larry Schutts, vice president of Stockwinners.com and a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com. Larry looks for stocks with technical and fundamental characteristics indicating gains in the next 30 days. However, price movements may be volatile. He includes a stop-loss price in each post. Consider selling a position should the stop-loss be violated. Look for more of Larry's stock picks in the days and weeks to come.
Given the tight times at the airlines, being an outfit that can
provide regulator-approved aircraft replacement parts puts a firm in a
favorable position. One of the biggest independent companies in the
group is headquartered in Hollywood, Florida. Heico Corporation (NYSE:HEI)
is engaged in the design, manufacture and sale of aerospace and defense
products and services. The firm specializes in producing FAA-approved
aircraft components, such as combustion chambers and gas-flow
transition ducts. It also provides jet engine overhaul and repair
services. In addition, the company makes such electronic equipment as
power modules and cooling systems. Customers include AMR Corporation (NYSE:AMR), Boeing (NYSE:BA) and UAL Corporation (NASDAQ:UAUA). United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) is a major competitor.  The firm pleased investors two weeks ago, when it reported Q4 EPS of
40 cents and revenues of $139.9 million. Analysts had been looking for
39 cents and $126.8 million. Management also guided FY08 EPS to
$1.73-$1.76 ($1.74 consensus) and FY08 revenues to $575-$580 million
($561.15M consensus). HEI shares popped into a bullish "flag"
consolidation pattern on the news. Prices frequently exit flags moving
in the same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that
would be to the upside. Brokers recommend the issue with two
"strong buys," one "buy" and three "holds." Analysts expect a 19% average annual growth rate through the next five years. The HEI
Price to Book ratio (3.91), Sales Growth rate (27.41%), Return on
Assets (9.48%) and Return on Investment (12.61%) compare favorably with
industry, sector and S&P 500 averages. Institutional investors hold
about 33% of the outstanding shares. Over the past 52 weeks, the
stock has traded between $33.76 and $56.92. A stop-loss of $47.35 looks
good here.
hilaryonstocks at 3:07:39 PM EST
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Friday, December 28, 2007
Accenture: The Brains Behind the Business
Guest blogger: Larry Schutts, vice president of Stockwinners.com and a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com. Larry looks for stocks with technical and fundamental characteristics indicating gains in the next 30 days. However, price movements may be volatile. He includes a stop-loss price in each post. Consider selling a position should the stop-loss be violated. Look for more of Larry's stock picks in the days and weeks to come.
The identification of new business trends and the subsequent
implementation of strategies based on those trends is vital to
corporate growth. When firms need help along those lines, they often
turn to a Hamilton, Bermuda consultant that currently works with
two-thirds of the Fortune Global 500. Accenture (NYSE:ACN)
is the world's largest management and technology consulting firm. It
offers clients enterprise integration, human resources, strategic
planning and supply chain management services, across 18 industry
groups. The company operates from more than 100 offices in
49countries. It has established business alliances with a
variety of sector leaders, including Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ), Oracle (NASDAQ:ORCL) and Reuters Group (NASDAQ:RTRSY). Last
week, the firm reported fiscal Q1 EPS of 60 cents and revenues of $5.67
billion. The Street had been expecting 56 cents and $5.46 billion.
Management also guided Q2 revenues to $5.50-$5.70 billion ($5.31B
consensus) and FY08 EPS to $2.36-2.41 ($2.26 consensus).  ACN shares popped into a bullish "flag" consolidation pattern on the
news. Stocks frequently exit flags moving in the same direction they
were traveling when they entered them. In this case, that would be to
the upside. Brokers recommend the issue with six "strong buys,"
nine "buys" and five "holds." Analysts see a 14% average annual growth
rate through the next five years. The ACN P/E ratio (17.97), PEG ratio
(1.31), Price to Sales ratio (1.28), Price to Cash Flow ratio (12.74),
Price to Free Cash Flow ratio (16.71), Sales Growth rate (19.27%), EPS
Growth rate (30.43%), Return on Assets (18.26%), Return on Investment
(55.13%) and Return on Equity (72.69%) compare favorably with industry,
sector and S&P 500 averages. Institutions hold about 59% of the
outstanding shares. Over the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded
between $33.03 and $44.03. A stop-loss of $32 looks good here.
hilaryonstocks at 2:52:35 PM EST
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Thursday, December 27, 2007
Oracle Corp.: Still seeing the future clearly
Guest blogger: Larry Schutts, vice president of Stockwinners.com and a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com. Larry looks for stocks with technical and fundamental characteristics indicating gains in the next 30 days. However, price movements may be volatile. He includes a stop-loss price in each post. Consider selling a position should the stop-loss be violated. Look for more of Larry's stock picks in the days and weeks to come.
Oracle Corporation (NASDAQ:ORCL)
is the world's largest enterprise software company, providing database,
infrastructure, and computer application software for managing business
data and supporting business operations. Essentially, the programs
facilitate functions in data storage/access, analytics, customer
relationship management, supply chain management and software
development. The firm provides a wide variety of consulting, training
and license updating services. Products are sold through internet
service providers, network integrators, resellers and independent
software vendors. Oracle pleased investors last week, when it reported Q2 EPS of 31 cents and revenues of $5.36 billion. Analysts had
been expecting 27 cents and $5.04 billion. Database and middleware new
license revenues were up 28% and applications new license revenues grew
63%. Management also guided Q3 EPS to 29-30 cents (29 cents consensus)
and Q3 revenues to about $5.338 billion ($5.19B consensus). ORCL shares
popped on the news and then moved into a bullish "pennant"
consolidation pattern. Prices frequently exit pennants moving in the
same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that would
be to the upside. Brokers recommend the shares with eight "strong buys," 18 "buys"
and seven "holds." Analysts see a 15% average annual growth rate
through the next five years. The ORCL Price to Free Cash Flow ratio
(17.93), Sales Growth rate (27.23%), EPS Growth rate (55.00%),
Operating Margin (33.23%), Net Profit Margin (23.80%) and Return on
Assets (14.80%) compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500
averages. Institutions own about 56% of the outstanding shares.
The stock is one of those used to calculate the S&P 100 Index, the
S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq 100 Index. Over the past 12
months, it has traded between $15.97 and $23. A stop-loss of $20
looks good here.
hilaryonstocks at 4:32:46 PM EST
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Wednesday, December 26, 2007
Research in Motion: Answering the upside call
Guest blogger: Larry Schutts, vice president of Stockwinners.com and a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com. Larry looks for stocks with technical and fundamental characteristics indicating gains in the next 30 days. However, price movements may be volatile. He includes a stop-loss price in each post. Consider selling a position should the stop-loss be violated. Look for more of Larry's stock picks in the days and weeks to come. Research In Motion (NASDAQ:RIMM) is
a leading provider of wireless communications hardware, software and
services. Company devices allow access to email, telephone, messaging,
internet and intranet-based applications. RIM products include the
BlackBerry wireless platform and the RIM Wireless Handheld product
line. The firm also provides software development tools and makes
radio-based modems that other manufacturers incorporate into their
portable devices. Competitors include Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Motorola (NYSE:MOT) and Nokia (NYSE:NOK). RIM surprised the Street last week, when it reported Q3 EPS of 65 cents and revenues of $1.67 billion. Analysts had been
looking for 62 cents and $1.65 billion. Management also guided Q4 EPS
to 66-70 cents (65 cent consensus) and Q4 revenues to $1.80-$1.87
billion ($1.75B consensus). In discussing the solid numbers, the firm
noted strong adoption in Europe and improving performance in several
emerging markets. Bear Stearns subsequently upgraded RIMM shares to
"outperform." JMP Securities and UBS reiterated calls at the same
level. RIMM shares popped on the news and then moved into a bullish
"flag" consolidation pattern. Prices frequently exit flags moving in
the same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that
would be to the upside. Brokers recommend the issue with seven "strong buys," 16 "buys,"
11 "holds" and two "sells." Analysts see a 52% growth rate through
the next year. The RIMM Sales Growth rate (21.88%), EPS Growth rate
(103.23%), Operating Margin (27.83%), Net Profit Margin (21.13%),
Return on Assets (28.58%), Return on Investment (36.21%), Return on
Equity (36.95%) and Net Income per Employee ($170.89k) compare
favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages. Institutions
hold about 71% of the outstanding shares. The stock is one of those
used to calculate the Nasdaq 100 Index and the AMEX Internet Index.
Over the past 52 weeks, it has traded between $39.92 and $137.01. A
stop-loss of $99.50 looks good here.
hilaryonstocks at 4:57:52 PM EST
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Friday, December 21, 2007
Nordstrom Inc: Still in Fashion
Guest blogger: Larry Schutts, vice president of Stockwinners.com and a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com. Larry looks for stocks with technical and fundamental characteristics indicating gains in the next 30 days. However, price movements may be volatile. He includes a stop-loss price in each post. Consider selling a position should the stop-loss be violated. Look for Larry's stock picks in the days and weeks to come.
Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE:JWN)
is a leading U.S. fashion retailer, with outlets in 28 states. The firm
operates 101 full-line stores, 51 Nordstrom Racks, two Jeffrey
boutiques, one free-standing shoe store and two clearance facilities.
It also serves customers through catalogs and a web site. The stock has been a steady gainer recently, rising on such developments as better than expected Q3 earnings/revenues,
upside guidance for Q4/FY08 EPS, favorable analyst remarks, much better
than expected November same-store sales, and word of insider buying.
The news has kept JWN shares cycling through a positive six-week
trading channel. The price is currently consolidating at the base of
that channel, where oversold MACD and Stochastic technical parameters
suggest the potential for a rise back toward the top. The
correspondence of the stock's 30-day moving average to the base of the
channel backs the rebound notion. Brokers recommend the issue with three "strong buys," three "buys,"
thirteen "holds" and one "sell." Analysts expect a 13% growth rate,
through the next year. The JWN P/E ratio (12.30), PEG ratio (1.06),
Price to Sales ratio (0.91), Price to Cash Flow ratio (8.05), EPS
Growth rate (13.46%), Return on Assets (14.42%), Return on Investment
(21.42%) and Return on Equity (44.98%) compare favorably with industry,
sector and S&P 500 averages. Institutions hold about 74% of the
outstanding shares. The stock is one of those used to calculate the
S&P 500 Index. Over the past 52 weeks, it has traded between $30.46
and $59.70. A stop-loss of $30.70 looks good here. Note that Nordstrom
is expected to report Q4 results in late February.
hilaryonstocks at 1:52:05 PM EST
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Wednesday, December 19, 2007
Greif Inc.: Packing up the profits
Guest blogger: Larry Schutts, vice president of Stockwinners.com and a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com. Larry looks for stocks with technical and fundamental characteristics indicating gains in the next 30 days. However, price movements may be volatile. He includes a stop-loss price in each post. Consider selling a position should the stop-loss be violated. Look for more of Larry's stock picks in the days and weeks to come.
In conveying goods from producer to consumer, protection of the
product is always a primary concern. A leading manufacturer of
containers used on the bulk shipping side of the equation is
headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. Greif Inc. (NYSE:GEF)
produces containers and containerboard, mainly for bulk shippers in the
chemical, food, petroleum, mineral, machinery and pharmaceutical
industries. Products include drums, water bottles, pallets, corrugated
containers and multiwall packaging. The firm also manages some 300,000
acres of North American timberland. The company maintains over 160
operating locations, in nearly fifty countries. Greif pleased
investors earlier in the month, when it reported Q4 EPS of $1.05. That
was eight cents above the average Street estimate. Revenues rose 19.9% (y/y) to $882.3 million. Management also guided FY08 EPS to
$3.80-4.00, versus consensus of $3.83. Deutsche Securities subsequently
reiterated its "buy" rating on the shares and boosted its price target
to $85.  The stock popped through moving average resistance on the news and then
passed into a bullish "flag" consolidation pattern. Prices frequently
exit flags moving in the same direction they were traveling on entry.
In this case, that would be to the upside. Brokers recommend the
issue with two "strong buys," three "buys" and one "hold." Analysts see
a 20% growth rate through the next year. The GEF P/E ratio (19.01),
PEG ratio (1.27), Price to Sales ratio (0.88), Price to Book ratio
(2.94) and Sales Growth rate (19.94%), compare favorably with industry,
sector and S&P 500 averages. Institutional investors hold about 48%
of the outstanding shares. Over the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded
between $47.81 and $68.30. A stop-loss of $56.25 looks good here.
hilaryonstocks at 3:46:14 PM EST
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