The Sportz Guru Report

An early edition of the NFL Picks this week as we have two Turkey Day games to consider.  Just as those 4 teams have had a short week of practice, I too had to cram for my picks this week, and what a wekk it is.  Several very difficult games, straight and against the spread.  I am interested to see how good my gut is(I know how big it is going to get tomorrow!)

Here we go!!!

Thanksgiving Day Doubleheader  - 

Atlanta -3 1/2 @ Detroit  -  The Falcons, once riding high at 6-2, have lost 2 straight home games, the last being a tough divisional matchup against the Buccaneers.  Now at 6-4, they are behind both the Panthers and the Bucs in the division.  They can't not afford another defeat to a team they should beat, like the Packer game 2 weeks ago.  Though alot of the flak falls to Mike Vick, it has been the Falcon defense that has let Jim Mora and Co. down.  A short week is the best thing to happen to Atlanta, and a big win in Detroit would do alot to right the ship.  I like the Falcons in this spot, and I look for Vick, Dunn, and even T.J. Duckett to have a big day on the ground.  The Lions always play tough on Thanksgiving, but are a team in chaos.  I like the Falcons, give the points...

Falcons 27-17

Denver -1 1/2 @ Dallas  -  A classic in the making.  I can't remember the last time two divisional leaders played in a Turkey Day game.  Both teams love to run the ball, and are committed to it even if there isn't early success.  That said, both teams should have opportunities to make plays down field, and both have players at the skill positions to make big plays.  In the end, this game could come down to special teams, and in both cases, I like the Broncos.  Jason Elam gives the Broncos a PK edge, and rookie Darrent Williams is a TD threat every time he drops back to take a punt.  Champ Bailey is as close to 100% as he has been all season.  This game has all the ingredients to be a colse, hard fought game.  OT isn't out of the question.  In the end, I like Denver to get a big raod win in a statement game and keep the pressure on the Colts in the AFC.

Broncos 23-20

I will give my picks for the rest of Week 12 a little later!

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